Cato has now posted my remarks from last week’s “Obamacare in the Supreme Court” conference:
The full conference will be available here soon.
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Cato has now posted my remarks from last week’s “Obamacare in the Supreme Court” conference:
The full conference will be available here soon.
My latest podcast, “IPAB: ObamaCare’s Next Constitutional Hurdle.”
The Washington Post puts public opinion on gas prices in stark red and blue:
Pretty clear Red Team/Blue Team answers. Republicans in 2006 accepted that there wasn’t much the president could do to reduce gas prices, but most of them think Obama could. Democrats show an even sharper shift; they overwhelmingly said that Bush could bring prices down, but few expect Obama to do so. I hope the fact that both Independents and Americans as a whole are 12–13 points less likely to think that presidents set gas prices is a sign of improvement in general economic understanding.
Back around 2003 or 2004 a colleague was escorted through the hallways of CNN by a junior staffer or intern, who asked him, “Do you think Bush is raising gas prices now so he can lower them before the election?” With perceptions like that among budding journalists, is there any hope for better public understanding of economics?
For examples of informed and nonpartisan analysis of gas prices, check out
Last week, I appeared on NPR’s Tell Me More program. My discussion with host Michel Martin gives a good synopsis of why ObamaCare is both harmful to consumers and unconstitutional. Listen to the segment here.
For a contrary perspective, listen to former Obama administration acting solicitor general Neal Katyal, who appeared on the program the next day. If you do listen to both programs, let me know what you think about Katyal’s comments, specifically this part:
MARTIN: First, I want to play a short clip from Michael Cannon of the Cato Institute who spoke to us yesterday as we said. This is a little of what he told us. Here it is.
MICHAEL CANNON: If the Supreme Court were to uphold this unprecedented and really breathtaking assertion of government power, there would be nothing to stop the Congress from forcing Americans to purchase any private product that Congress chose to favor. That could be a gym membership. That could be stock in Exxon Mobil. That could be broccoli if Congress decided that any of these products move in interstate commerce and that forcing you to buy it was essential to the regulatory scheme they wanted to enact.
MARTIN: What is your response to that?
KATYAL: Well, I mean, that’s a lot of rhetoric and not really a legal argument because it’s not responsive to what the government is asking for here. What the government is saying is, look, everyone consumes healthcare in this country, you and I. And, you know, even if I might say to myself, I don’t need health insurance. I won’t get sick. The fact is, as human beings with mortality, we are going to get sick and it’s unpredictable when.
You could get struck by a heart attack or cancer or hit by a bus and wind up in the emergency room and then it’s average Americans who have to pick up the tab for that. And so the government is not saying here we have the power to force people to buy goods. They’re saying, look, you’re going to already buy the goods. You’re going to use it. And the only question is, are you going to have the financing now to pay for it.
And so the government is regulating financing. It’s kind of like a government law that says you’ve got to pay cash or credit. It’s not the government coming in and saying, oh, consume this product you wouldn’t otherwise consume. And as for the kind of, you know, ludicrous suggestion that this would somehow lead to the government forcing people to eat broccoli or the like, I mean, I would think that someone from the Cato Institute would know that the Bill of Rights and the privacy protections in the constitution would protect against such drastic hypotheticals.
Now, I’ve been at this for a while. I’ve seen people evade uncomfortable questions and mischaracterize things I’ve said. But for some reason, this instance really surprised me. Maybe Katyal was nervous.
In a not so subtle brief for taxing the rich, Washington Post business and economics columnist Steven Pearlstein looks critically today at Rep. Paul Ryan’s latest House Republican budget proposal. Addressing what he sees as “the false choice between equality and efficiency,” he starts out well enough, with the “bedrock principle of economics: Incentives matter.” In fact, he rightly quotes Ryan’s budget rationale – that “Republicans ‘don’t want to turn the social safety net into a hammock that lulls able-bodied people to live lives of dependence and complacency, that drains them of their will and incentive to make the most of their lives.’” Echoing the oft-noted aperçu that “those systems that have put liberty ahead of equality have done better by equality than those that have put equality above liberty,” Pearlstein concludes that:
In a society where incomes are made to be too equal, there is little reason to work harder or to defer current consumption in order to save and invest. There is no incentive to take the risk of launching a new enterprise or to spend hours in the lab or the garage dreaming up the next breakthrough technology. Without the prospect of earning more or getting ahead, there would be less reason for getting much beyond the most basic education and training. And it is precisely these factors – work effort, investment in human and physical capital, development of technology – that are key to determining how fast an economy grows.
So far so good. But then Pearlstein goes astray, charging that Ryan Republicans, ignoring that “society wants both fairness and economic growth,” have “not only elevated growth as the sole objective of economic policy” – thus himself ignoring Ryan’s “social safety net” – “but declared that fairness is everywhere and always a deterrent to growth.” All of which brings Pearlstein to ask “if we’ve reached the point where any additional increase in inequality results in less growth, not more?”
A fair question, in answer to which Pearlstein cites two IMF economists who’ve argued recently “that countries that experienced longer periods of strong economic growth were significantly more likely to be characterized by more equality than less.” But they also speculated that inequality
might amplify the risk of financial crises, which are often followed by long periods of slow or negative growth. It might bring about political instability, which can discourage investment. Inequality might make it harder for ordinary citizens to invest in entrepreneurial activity, or even invest in their own training and education.
And why might inequality produce those untoward results? Citing the rise in inequality over the past 20 years, accompanied by “repeated and severe financial crises,” Pearlstein offers up a mix of “explanations,” so called: households taking on too much debt as they struggled in light of nearly three decades of stagnant wages; the wealthy “misallocating” their wealth by bidding up the prices of “houses in the Hamptons” and private schools; “a dramatic slowdown in college graduation rates,” and “a decline in business startups and other measures of entrepreneurial activity.” And then he adds an “explanation” that gets closer to the heart of the matter, even as he misreads it:
Can anyone doubt the connection between rising inequality and the increasingly partisan and divisive nature of American politics, which has made it difficult, if not impossible, for government to respond quickly and intelligently to the major economic challenges facing the nation? Surely that can’t be good for growth.
Yet from that, Pearlstein draws exactly the wrong conclusion. Finding it “strange that Republicans assign such overriding importance to economic incentives for investors, executives and hedge-fund managers while remaining totally clueless about the economic incentives faced by everyone else,” he notes that “over the past 30 years, the entire increase in the nation’s income has been captured by the 10 percent of households at the top of the income scale.” We then get the clincher: “Do you think that maybe, just maybe, the lack of a pay raise for the other 90 percent might have had any impact on their productivity, their work effort, their creativity or their willingness to take risk?”
Couple that with Pearlstein’s finding that it is difficult, if not impossible, for government to respond to the economic challenges facing the nation, and it’s clear that the unstated assumption, echoing the “Occupy” refrain, is that something ought to be done about “the lack of a pay raise for the other 90 percent” – and it ought to be done by government.
But isn’t that just what brought about the financial crises of the past many years? After all, it was in the name of government seeking to reduce inequality that the Fed, Fannie, and Freddie, along with the Community Reinvestment Act, encouraged households to take on too much debt, to take just one of Pearlstein’s examples. More far-reaching still, however, like all who call on government to take measures to reduce inequality in the countless ways they do, Pearlstein seems oblivious to the fact that we’ve had a surfeit of such measures in recent years, yet they’ve only increased inequality, and for reasons economists have long understood: rich people more than poor, large corporations more than small, are all far more able to adjust to those intrusions into the workings of the market.
And so we’re back to the basic insight: If you want to reduce economic inequality, don’t shoot for it through government redistributive programs; get out of the way and let the market bring about whatever measure of equality is optimal. Few have put that point better, more than two and a half centuries ago, well before the rise of public choice economics, than the Scottish enlightenment philosopher David Hume:
Render possessions [or income] ever so equal, men’s different degrees of art, care, and industry will immediately break that equality. Or if you check these virtues, you reduce society to the most extreme indigence; and instead of preventing want and beggary in a few, render it unavoidable to the whole community. The most rigorous inquisition too is requisite to watch every inequality on its first appearance; and the most severe jurisdiction, to punish and redress it. But besides, that so much authority must soon degenerate into tyranny, and be exerted with great partialities; who can possibly be possessed of it, in such a situation as is here supposed? Perfect equality of possessions, destroying all subordination, weakens extremely the authority of magistracy, and must reduce all power nearly to a level, as well as property.
Here are some news stories you could find in Friday’s Wall Street Journal:
That’s one day’s stories about new government assaults on wealth creation and new political transfers of wealth. And so maybe it’s no surprise that the paper also carries these stories:
Note that few if any of these stories made headlines, or even appeared in other newspapers. Many voters know about Obamacare, the massive 2009 stimulus bill, and Cash for Clunkers. Many fewer realize the tax tsunami planned for 9 months from now. Hardly anyone knows about the costs of stepped-up regulation and regulatory enforcement. But everyone wonders why the recovery is so slow and unemployment remains so high. Just read the papers — in detail.
Amid the ongoing furor over “Stand Your Ground” laws, adopted in Florida and about half the other states, the New York Times invited me to take part in a “Room for Debate” round-table on the subject. An excerpt from my contribution:
Under any criminal law, injustice can result if cops get the facts wrong. The Sanford, Fla., police, accused of buying a dubious self-defense tale after the Trayvon Martin shooting, will now come under searching scrutiny for that decision. Sanford’s mayor says his town is eager to stand corrected by the evidence as a fuller story emerges.
So who’s left to disagree? Not the authors of Florida’s Stand Your Ground law, who told The Miami Herald that the law they sponsored applies only to cases of genuine self defense and won’t protect neighborhood-watcher George Zimmerman if critics of the Martin shooting are right about what he did that night. …
I go on to point out ways in which a robust right of self-defense has historically proved to protect the interests of victims of domestic violence and racial minorities. (On the latter, see, for example, cases from Ossian Sweet’s in the 1920s to the present day; more here and here, and from my Cato colleague Jonathan Blanks here.)
What really set off the NYT commenters was my observation that “Despite doomful predictions from gun foes, concealed carry (now the dominant rule) and liberalized self-defense laws (adopted by half the states) haven’t touched off the great warned-of surge of gun violence.” Here are some particulars. Between 2004 (the year before the law’s enactment) and 2010 violent crime in Florida dropped sharply, and homicides per capita also dropped, though not sharply. News stories often mention that (quoting ABC): “Since the law was enacted seven years ago, justified homicides in Florida have jumped threefold, according to the Florida Department of Law Enforcement.” But a tripling in the assertion of this defense (from a low base) tells us little in itself since the whole idea of the law was to make the defense more available. In particular it does not signify that some sort of killing began to happen three times as often, even if some seem determined to interpret it that way.
I agree that the details of Florida’s or similar laws are not to be assumed optimal and can properly be revisited to make sure they work well. But I note with alarm the number of seemingly liberal-minded persons, at the Times and elsewhere, who seem perfectly comfortable with calls for gutting self-protection as a criminal defense at the behest of prosecutors who would find their jobs easier that way. Have they now decided that the goal of punishing more guilty persons is worth relaxing our vigilance about not mistakenly punishing the innocent among them?