While shareholders and management might take a hit, Dodd, of course, will argue that creditors will take losses. But even a casual read of the various exceptions he allows (listed on pages 188 and 189 of his bill) indicates that debt will be bailed out in most cases.
A bill that essentially says, “No more bailouts — except under conditions A, B, C and D,” is not a bill that ends bailouts.
Even Dodd’s claim to shut down companies is full of holes. On page 145, the bill clearly states that the FDIC “may” liquidate and wind up a failing company. That means the FDIC “may” also decide not to.
In short, Dodd’s bill wouldn’t see failed firms put out of business in the next crisis, but instead produce ad hoc bailouts like those of 2008.
To function properly, capital markets need certainty about how the government will respond in crisis situations. The Dodd bill doesn’t provide that clarity: Instead, it massively delegates power — allowing regulators to decide who gets rescued and who doesn’t.
Dodd has decried the greed of Wall Street — yet his bill is a triumph for the oversight status quo. His proposed consumer-protection agency would lack any authority over Wall Street, leaving oversight largely with the (failed) Securities and Exchange Commission.
Indeed, the provisions Dodd sells as “anti-Wall Street” are actually aimed at nonbank lenders, such as payday lenders and check-cashiers, who had absolutely nothing to do with the financial crisis.
Even where Dodd correctly identifies failings, he at best punts. The best example may be the credit-ratings system — whose colossal failings did so much to permit the 2008 crisis.
Rather than ending the ratings agencies’ government-created monopoly status, Dodd merely says the Government Accountability Office “will study the issue.”
Yet he is more than happy to throw a bone to trial lawyers by making the rating agencies subject to class-action lawsuits. What we need are rating agencies that will challenge the conventional wisdom, not ones that will constantly hew to the consensus in order to reduce litigation risk.
And despite all the new powers and discretions that the bill gives to the bank regulators, it still allows these same regulators to outsource much of their jobs to the rating agencies.
Perhaps the greatest of Dodd’s sins are ones of omission. Nowhere does his bill address the actual practice that caused the crisis: permitting widespread writing of mortgages where the borrowers had little or no equity. The Dodd bill keeps in place the same federal incentives for homebuyers to treat our housing markets as casinos.
And the only time Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac get mentioned in the bill is to continue their favored treatment. Notably, banks can still engage in proprietary trading in Fannie and Freddie securities — even though that practice was responsible for much of Bear Stearns’ catastrophic losses.
The American public has a lot to be angry about, but the spark for that rage was the bank bailouts. Yet Dodd’s bill makes bailouts into permanent policy. It wouldn’t bring stability to our financial system, but further erode market discipline — while asking us to put all our faith in the same regulators who have failed repeatedly.
