On the one hand, the administration says it wants to tax buybacks so that companies will invest more in new opportunities. But if those opportunities bear fruit, the firms presumably will grow bigger. On the other hand, the administration (particularly Federal Trade Commission chair Lina Khan) clearly wants to dissuade companies from getting bigger, e.g., the recent lawsuit against Microsoft to block its acquisition of a game developer and other, more recent guidelines. Given this, one would think the administration would prefer the Apples and Microsofts and Googles spin-off cash so it can be invested in entities outside the firms’ control.
To be clear, I don’t think I’m in favor of much change in antitrust law. I do, however, understand why very large corporations represent some degree of risk to society. It is conceivable that the combined effects of (1) traditional economies of scale and (2) the newer data virtuous cycle could catalyze extreme growth in some situations. However, this is a very nuanced topic that does not admit to easy answers, and I only scratch the surface of it a recently co-authored book, Data Science in Context (Cambridge University Press, 2022).