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8:00 – 8:30 a.m.
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Registration
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8:30 – 9:00 a.m.
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Welcoming Remarks and Keynote Address
Shawn Donnan, Financial Times
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9:00 — 10:10 a.m.
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Session I: Taking Stock of the Issues
What is at stake in these negotiations? Why are some issues more difficult to resolve than others, and how can compromise be reached? This panel will identify the low-hanging fruit, the sacred cows, and everything in between to provide a better understanding of the issues under negotiation, from the easiest to most difficult and consequential. Given the comprehensive nature of the agreement, there is room for debate on a number of topics, such as regulatory coherence, investor-state dispute settlement, privacy and data flows, financial services, government procurement, agriculture, services, labor and the environment, and, of course, tariffs. So what exactly is on the table, and what positions, if any, have both sides taken?
Moderated by: Dan Ikenson, Cato Institute
Susan Aaronson, George Washington University
Axel Berger, German Development Institute
Marjorie Chorlins, U.S. Chamber of Commerce
Celeste Drake, AFL-CIO
Iana Dreyer, Borderlex
Fredrik Erixon, ECIPE
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10:10 – 10:30 a.m.
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Break
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10:30 – 11:40 a.m.
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Session II: Finding the Path to TTIP Success
It is clear that the first tank of gas on the road to TTIP has run out. So where do we go from here? This panel will discuss the state of the negotiations, describe what lies ahead, and ask whether the United States and the EU have bitten off more than they can chew. If the negotiations were less ambitious in scope, would a final agreement be more achievable? Are there alternative architectures worth considering? Should we abandon the “single undertaking” approach and instead aim for a series of annual or biannual agreements? Should we consider including other countries that are closely integrated with the United States and the EU — such as Canada, Mexico, and Turkey — in the negotiations? If an agreement as currently proposed is achievable, what will it take to make it happen? And after such an agreement is reached, how daunting will the ratification processes be? What will it take to get to the final stage implementation?
Moderated by: Inu Barbee, Georgetown University
Michelle Egan, American University
John Gillingham, Harvard University Center for European Studies
Gary Hufbauer, Peterson Institute
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11:40 a.m. – 12:50 p.m.
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Session III: TTIP and the Multilateral Trading System
The TTIP and other mega-regional trade negotiations have been garnering attention for both their potential to liberalize trade and their potentially adverse impacts on the existing multilateral trading system. This panel will discuss the implications of the TTIP for the World Trade Organization and its member states. It will include discussion of the prospects for multilateralization of TTIP’s provisions; accession by other WTO members, the potential impact on the WTO dispute settlement body, prospects for developing countries, and the implications for U.S. and EU relations with the big economies left out of these deals — such as China and Brazil — if the TTIP succeeds in writing a new gold-standard of trade rules.
Moderated by: Joakim Reiter, UN Conference on Trade and Development
Vinod Aggarwal, University of California, Berkeley
Joost Pauwelyn, Georgetown University Law Center
Harsha Singh, International Center for Trade and Sustainable Development
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12:50 – 1:50 p.m.
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Lunch/Interview
Moderated by: Dan Ikenson, Cato Institute
Susan Danger, American Chamber of Commerce to the European Union (AmCham EU)
Nancy McLernon, Organization for International Investment
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1:55 – 2:55p.m.
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Session IV (Interview): Strategies for Navigating the Domestic Politics on Both Sides of the Atlantic
Whether a TTIP deal is achieved depends on the tenor and substance of the U.S.-EU negotiations. But those negotiations are shaped, to a great extent, by the parameters established through domestic political processes. This session will feature an interview between a host and three discussants who will focus on some of the domestic political landmines within the United States and the European Union, as well as strategies to mitigate risks and bridge political divides.
Moderated by: Dan Pearson, Cato Institute
Jim Kolbe, German Marshall Fund
Edward Alden, Council on Foreign Relations
Damien Levie, Delegation of the European Union to the United States
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2:55 – 4:05 p.m.
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Session V: The Geopolitical and Security Implications of TTIP
A heightened sense of anxiety on Europe’s eastern border has renewed geopolitical concerns on the Continent. This panel will focus on the security rationale for TTIP, discuss the interplay between economic security and national defense, and describe the relative importance of geopolitical considerations to the launch and success of the TTIP. Panelists will discuss the implications of the TTIP for energy security, privacy protection, cybersecurity, NATO, and other policies at the intersection of economics and security.
Moderated by: Bill Watson, Cato Institute
Fran Burwell, Atlantic Council
Phil Levy, The Chicago Council on Global Affairs
Peter Rashish, Transnational Strategy Group
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4:05 – 4:20 p.m.
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Break
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4:20 – 5:30 p.m.
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Breakout Sessions
Session VI: A Deep Dive on the Regulatory Coherence Negotiations
Touted as the portion of the negotiations that could produce the largest economic gains, the regulatory coherence negotiations are complicated by several factors, including the level of technical detail involved, the reliance of negotiators on domestic regulators (who may have a professional interest in scuttling a deal) for expertise, and the wide disparity in approaches contemplated by U.S. and EU negotiators. Panelists will break down the negotiations and provide greater clarity with respect to the possibilities and probabilities.
Moderated by: Simon Lester, Cato Institute
Alberto Alemanno, HEC Paris & NYU Law
Per Altenberg, Swedish Board of Trade
Greg Shaffer, University of California, Irvine School of Law
Session VII: Understanding the Economic Models and the Estimates They Produce
Common to most trade negotiations are estimates of the likely economic benefits of a completed deal. Often, these estimates vary, as they are based on different assumptions in the models. Sometimes it is difficult to understand how estimates for an agreement with yet-to-be-determined provisions can have any credibility. Panelists will discuss the basics of the economic modeling that is common to estimating the benefits of trade agreements, describe how those estimates affect the negotiations, and explain divergences in the estimates of some of the most commonly referenced models.
Moderated by: Hanna Norberg, TradeEconomista.com
Laura Baughman, Trade Partnership
Gabriel Felbermayr, Ifo Institute
Gabriel Siles-Brugge, University of Manchester
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5:30 p.m.
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Reception
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