And, as we rediscovered last decade with Europe and Canada (and are re-re-discovering today with the IRA), this tit-for-tat “buy local” protectionism makes it harder for allied governments to cooperate on other economic or geopolitical issues (e.g. on China). Unfortunately, a new assessment of OMB’s just-released BABA rules—from former USTR procurement negotiator Jean Gier—indicates that the Biden administration could ignore our trade agreement obligations when implementing BABA, thus risking even more international conflict over U.S. trade policy and retaliation against U.S. companies in these markets.
Unintended consequences. As is so often the case with U.S. industrial policy, Buy American policies also produce numerous unseen distortions throughout the economy, often undermining the government’s own policy objectives. One of my favorite examples of this problem comes from a 2014 paper that found that restrictions tied to federal transportation subsidies pushed local transit agencies to buy American-made buses that were both more expensive (“buses in Tokyo and Seoul are half the price of U.S. buses”) and less fuel efficient. As a result, Americans got lower quality, less-available public transit, increased traffic congestion, and more environmental harm. The Atlantic’s Derek Thompson adds that the government rules also discouraged domestic bus producers from innovating: “One lesson of this paper is that Buy American provisions might send a strong signal to buyers—whatever you do, just buy from one of these few domestic suppliers!—that overwhelms other signals, such as price and quality. As a result, domestic suppliers don’t have to keep up with any innovative wave, and Buy American policies lock parts of the economy into being less innovative.”
These unintended consequences, of course, aren’t isolated to transit buses—they are the obvious and inevitable result of a government policy that intentionally prevents participants from implementing other government policy as efficiently and effectively as possible. As Grabow notes, for example, a 2019 government advisory panel report warned that Buy American and the Berry Amendment prevent the U.S. military from accessing cutting‐edge products and are thus “antithetical to efficiently procuring the most advanced readily available products and solutions.” Telecommunications and water companies have raised similar concerns about the new BABA restrictions, arguing that they’re out of step with today’s global supply chains and will preclude the use of the latest and most innovative technologies. Even “onshoring” success stories can turn into a “disaster” when companies do the regulatory minimum to win those sweet, sweet subsidies, or when American manufacturers (and their workers) are excluded from federal projects on a technicality.
Macroeconomic costs. Like all protectionism, Buy American also imposes broader costs on the U.S. economy by directing finite resources to less-productive endeavors. While mapping these harms is always speculative, a 2017 paper employed an economy-wide (general equilibrium) model to see what would happen if certain Buy American restrictions were scrapped and the procurement cost savings were returned to taxpayers. The results: 306,000 net new jobs, $22 billion in additional economic output (GDP), and a negligible impact on U.S. manufacturing (because the sector is “not strongly dependent on Buy America(n)”). Assuming the government didn’t return the savings (a safe assumption), you’d still surely see important economy-wide benefits from ditching these procurement rules: more construction jobs, faster and better government projects, more innovation, higher wages, etc. The study’s authors conclude that, “it is clear that Buy American fails as a policy to promote aggregate employment and economic growth.”
Shocking, I know.