This approach to US tariffs changed dramatically following the disastrous Trade Act of 1930, better known as the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act after its sponsors Rep. Willis C. Hawley (R‑OR) and Sen. Reed Smoot (R‑UT). The act was signed by President Herbert Hoover in June 1930 over the objection of virtually every prominent economist at the time; it became the largest tariff hike in US history, inflicted serious damage to the US economy and international relations, and vividly demonstrated the shortcomings (and outright corruption) of congressional tariff-setting.1
In response, Congress delegated large amounts of its international economic authority to the executive branch in 1934 and through subsequent laws, under the prevailing assumption that the president was far less likely than Congress to be influenced by parochial interests and rent-seeking lobbyists—and thus far less likely to repeat Smoot-Hawley. For about 85 years, this bipartisan approach proved successful: major tariff hikes and trade wars were avoided and international trade flourished.
That changed with the 2016 election of Donald J. Trump.
Upon taking office, President Trump used the powers granted to him by Congress to take a series of unilateral actions that radically upended US international economic policy. Most prominently, Trump imposed national security tariffs on imported steel and aluminum from virtually every country—including longstanding allies—and hiked tariffs on more than half of all goods from China, which was at that time the United States’ largest import supplier.
Although the Biden administration promised to turn the page on its predecessor’s unilateralism, it instead repeatedly defended the Trump administration’s tariffs—and the broad authority Congress delegated to the executive branch—in court. President Biden also maintained most of the tariffs in original or modified form. The administration has even increased some of the China tariffs, citing the same laws and regulations that Trump abused in 2018.
In his 2024 presidential campaign, former President Trump has promised even more aggressive unilateral protectionism in the future. In particular, Trump has promised an across-the-board 10–20 percent tariff on all imports from every country and a 60 percent tariff on all imports from China; he claimed in September 2024 that he could do so without congressional approval.2 Economists and other trade policy experts have warned that such tariffs would harm both the US economy and the country’s foreign policy.3 However, some have sought to temper these concerns by confidently noting that practical and legal constraints would prevent a future President Trump from enacting broad tariffs without congressional consent.
As this paper explains, such confidence is mostly misguided. Several US laws provide the president with vast and discretionary authority to unilaterally impose sweeping trade restrictions, and no institution—not Congress, not domestic courts, not US international agreements—provides a quick, surefire check on such actions. Thus, while the durable implementation of broad and damaging US tariffs is not guaranteed, its risk—and related economic and geopolitical risks—will remain real and substantial until US law is changed to limit presidential tariff powers. We therefore recommend Congress enact such amendments immediately.